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Bayesian Philosophy of Science

Format: Academic Monograph
Media: Hardback
PublisherCode: 9780199672110
Publisher: OUP Oxford

In Bayesian Philosophy of Science, Jan Sprenger and Stephan Hartmann use a single key concept--degrees of belief--to explain and to elucidate manifold aspects of scientific reasoning. They present good arguments and good inferences as being characterized by their effect on our rational degrees of belief. This idea is explained in terms of a cycle of variations on the theme of representing rational degrees of belief by means of subjective probabilities and changing them by Bayesian conditionalization. This book thereby shows how modeling such attitudes improves our understanding of causes, explanations, confirming evidence, and scientific models in general. It will be a valuable resource for philosophers and scientific practitioners.

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